SELECTED_WORK
Work
Research systems that turn a hard geophysical question into a number a desk can act on. Each case study carries its own methods and its own honest limits; every metric below is sourced.
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tailspec Tail-risk evaluation of the AI weather emulators the industry runs on. 6 ΔBSS +0.085, p<10⁻⁴ View case study -
Cascade Weather-shock propagation across the European energy graph. 357 nodes / 675 edges 0.738 vs 0.652 persistence View case study -
ResNimbus Diagnosing cloud cover from AI weather models, calibrated across the domain shift. 2nd place, Climate Informatics 2026 +16–23% cross-domain skill View case study -
marEx Open-source marine-extreme detection and tracking at petabyte scale. 230k+as of 2026-07 UK Met Office, ECMWF & NOAA View case study -
Weather, Later Weather-app-style climate risk from CMIP6, shipped free and fully static. 23 3,979 View case study -
HimmelMeer Live above-the-fog forecasting for Switzerland, from an operational ensemble. 11 (1 ctrl + 10 perturbed) 138 min on a 2-core, 12 GB VM View case study -
ForeshoreCast Physics-based shelling forecasts for the Gulf Coast, running unattended in production. 4 3/day, DST-aware View case study -
HELVETIC-AI Classifying climate eras from high-resolution model fields, then testing whether the network's fingerprints are physically coherent. 94.7% test accuracy 8 coupled-system fields View case study - EERIE Leading the ocean–atmosphere evaluation of the EU's kilometre-scale coupled climate models. ~200 TB per simulated year 2 first-author papers submitted View case study
- IN PROGRESS tailtwist Auditing guided-generative rare-event sampling for climate emulators. Gate-0 feasibility validated: a guided sampler with an odds-ratio correction, benchmarked before scaling the study up. Guided sampling throughput (Gate-0)≈ 12 min/sample
FULL_INDEX
- tailspec Tail-risk evaluation of the AI weather emulators the industry runs on.
- Cascade Weather-shock propagation across the European energy graph.
- ResNimbus Diagnosing cloud cover from AI weather models, calibrated across the domain shift.
- marEx Open-source marine-extreme detection and tracking at petabyte scale.
- Weather, Later Weather-app-style climate risk from CMIP6, shipped free and fully static.
- HimmelMeer Live above-the-fog forecasting for Switzerland, from an operational ensemble.
- ForeshoreCast Physics-based shelling forecasts for the Gulf Coast, running unattended in production.
- HELVETIC-AI Classifying climate eras from high-resolution model fields, then testing whether the network's fingerprints are physically coherent.
- EERIE Leading the ocean–atmosphere evaluation of the EU's kilometre-scale coupled climate models.
- tailtwist Auditing guided-generative rare-event sampling for climate emulators (in progress).